Buying a home is also an investment decision. Compare it honestly.
Run the same home and the same horizon two ways: buy and build equity, or rent and invest the difference. The calculator shows where each path actually lands — including closing costs, maintenance, selling costs, rent growth, and the opportunity cost of money tied up in the down payment.
Buying a home is a capital allocation decision, not just a monthly payment.
Most rent-vs-buy calculators stop at the monthly cost comparison. This one keeps going — what happens to the money you'd otherwise put into the home if you didn't?
A 10% down payment on a $425,000 home is $42,500. Add typical closing costs and you're tying up roughly $55,000 in cash on day one. That money is now sitting in home equity, where it's illiquid, undiversified, and subject to whatever happens to your specific property in your specific ZIP code. The question this calculator asks is simple: if you'd put that same $55,000 into an index fund instead — and added the monthly cash-flow difference between renting and owning — where would you actually land at the end of your hold period?
The answer depends on assumptions you control. Home appreciation, investment return, rent growth, and hold period are the four big levers. None of them are predictable. What this calculator does is let you set defensible numbers and see the math run cleanly — including all the costs both paths actually incur.
Renting is not "throwing money away"
The phrase implies that rent is uniquely wasteful while mortgage payments are uniquely productive. The math doesn't agree. A typical mortgage payment in years 1–7 is mostly interest — money paid to a bank, not equity — plus property tax (paid to the county), insurance (paid to an insurer), and maintenance (paid to keep the asset functional). The portion that builds equity is real but smaller than people assume, and it comes at the cost of capital tied up in the down payment that could otherwise compound elsewhere.
Buying often wins this comparison anyway, especially over long horizons in appreciating markets. But "rent vs. own" is a real trade-off with assumptions on both sides — not a moral question with one right answer.
Why the assumptions actually matter
Three numbers dominate the verdict in most scenarios: annual home appreciation, expected investment return, and hold period. The historical long-run U.S. averages are roughly 3–4% real for home prices and 6–7% real for the S&P 500. But the deltas swing widely by metro and decade. The right way to use this calculator is to run multiple scenarios — base case, optimistic case, pessimistic case — and see how robust the answer is to your assumptions. If the verdict flips when you change one number, the answer isn't really a verdict.
What "investing" means here.
The calculator offers four asset benchmarks plus a custom mode. Each is a scenario assumption, not a recommendation.
S&P 500 (default)
The most common benchmark for a diversified U.S. equity portfolio. The historical long-run nominal return is roughly 10% per year (about 7% real, after inflation). This number includes dividends reinvested and assumes a buy-and-hold strategy through multiple cycles. It does not account for taxes, fees, or the behavioral cost of staying invested through 30%+ drawdowns. We default to 7% to keep the comparison real-vs-real with home appreciation.
Cash / conservative
Treasury bills, money-market funds, and short-duration bonds. Recent 4% reflects the current rate environment. This is the right comparison for risk-averse savers who'd actually hold the money in low-volatility instruments rather than equities. Long-run real return is closer to 0–1%, but nominal is 3–5% in normal rate environments.
Bond / moderate
A diversified fixed-income portfolio. Long-run nominal return historically falls between cash and equities — roughly 5%. Lower volatility than stocks, higher than cash. A reasonable proxy for a 60/40 portfolio if equities are doing the work of the bond side.
Custom return
For users who want to model a specific assumption — a personal target return, a financial advisor's projection, or a scenario you want to stress-test.
Bitcoin (advanced — high volatility)
Available, but framed honestly: long-run returns from Bitcoin's history have been extreme, but so have the drawdowns — 70–80% peak-to-trough declines that historically lasted 1–4 years. Comparing a home to Bitcoin is comparing two assets with very different volatility profiles, and the comparison is mostly useful for sensitivity testing, not as a baseline. Use it to see how much of the verdict is driven by which asset you're modeling.
This calculator is not a recommendation to invest in any of these assets. It's a tool to help you see what your assumptions imply. The methodology page documents the math; the assumptions are yours to set.
Common questions about this comparison.
Is buying always better than renting?
Why compare a home to the S&P 500?
Should I compare a home to Bitcoin?
Does this include selling costs and maintenance?
Is this investment advice?
What assumptions matter most?
What time horizon matters most?
Does the calculator account for taxes on investment gains?
Run the related comparisons.
Rent vs. Buy
Total cost over your real time horizon — the same comparison from a monthly-cost angle.
CalculatorTrue Monthly Cost
The full PITI + HOA + maintenance picture for the buy path.
CalculatorDown Payment Strategy
5% vs. 10% vs. 15% vs. 20% down — opportunity cost across down-payment sizes.
CalculatorBuy Now vs. Wait
The same home now vs. 12 months from now — adjacent timing question.
CalculatorHouse Poor Risk
If you do buy, where does the budget actually break? Surface the risks.
Run the comparison with your numbers.
The calculator is above. Set the price, down payment, rate, and hold period to match your real situation. Toggle the asset benchmark to see how much of the verdict depends on the assumed return.