Buying

How much house can you really afford?

The lender's qualifying number and the comfortable target number are not the same. Here's how to find yours.

10 min read Last updated May 2026 By the OwningCost editorial team

A lender will approve you for what you can technically service. That number is not what you can comfortably afford. The gap between the two is often $100,000+ in home price — and the households that close the gap with the lender's number are the ones who end up house-poor.

The lender's question vs. your question

What the lender calculates

Debt-to-income ratio. Front-end DTI (housing payment / gross income) up to ~36% for most loan programs; back-end DTI (housing + all other debt / gross income) up to ~43%, sometimes higher with strong compensating factors. The lender's job is to confirm you can service the debt under reasonable assumptions; not to confirm you'll have a financially comfortable life.

What you should calculate

Comfortable housing-to-income ratio of 25–28% (gross), accounting for the complete monthly cost — not just PITI. The complete cost includes maintenance reserve, HOA, full PMI if applicable, and projected post-purchase tax. The lender's number includes only PITI. The difference matters.

The three tiers

Comfortable: 25–28% gross DTI

The household has reserves, can absorb a $9,000 capital event without panic, and the housing line doesn't crowd out retirement savings, vacation budget, or emergency fund. This is what financial advisors recommend, and it leaves room for life to happen.

For a $90,000 household income (gross), 28% is $25,200/year housing or $2,100/month complete cost. At current rates and Texas tax/insurance assumptions, that supports a home around $250,000.

Stretched: 28–33% gross DTI

Workable for two-income households with stable jobs, no major near-term life changes, and an existing emergency fund. Real-estate professionals commonly position this band as "what you can afford" because it's still well below the lender's ceiling. It's livable, but it crowds the budget — vacation gets smaller, savings rate drops, and any income disruption gets stressful fast.

For the same $90,000 household income, 33% is $29,700/year or $2,475/month complete. That supports a home around $295,000.

House-poor: 33–43% gross DTI

The lender will approve here. The household servicing this housing cost has minimal margin — savings rate is depressed, an unexpected expense becomes a crisis, and the relationship between work and life becomes "I work to pay the mortgage." Most households who land in this band didn't intend to; they bought at the lender's ceiling because that's what was approved and the math felt fine in spreadsheet form.

For the $90,000 household income, 43% is $38,700/year or $3,225/month complete. That supports a home around $390,000 — but the household is now structurally fragile.

What's wrong with the lender's number

It treats your ceiling as your target

Pre-approval letters carry a maximum number. Real-estate platforms then set search filters to that maximum. You see homes at the top of your range, not the middle. Anchoring is real; anchoring on the lender's ceiling is the most common path to buying at the ceiling.

It excludes essential costs

Maintenance reserve isn't on the credit report; the lender doesn't underwrite it. HOA assessments aren't underwritten. Future tax reassessment isn't underwritten. The lender's qualifying number is a partial picture by design.

It's based on gross income

The lender uses gross income because that's the standardized measure. You spend net income. The 43% lender-ceiling DTI on gross income is a much higher percentage of net income — often 55–60%. Households who think in net terms find the lender's number more obviously stretched.

It assumes status quo

Current job, current debts, current rates. It doesn't model job loss, income variability, rate drift after the fixed period, or life events. Households whose situation might change benefit from leaving more margin than the underwriting requires.

How to find your number

Step 1: Calculate complete monthly cost capacity

Take 28% of your gross monthly income. That's your comfortable target for the all-in housing line — including maintenance reserve and HOA assessments, not just PITI.

Step 2: Reverse-engineer the home price

Given your target monthly capacity, work backward to a home price using current rates, your down payment, and local tax/insurance/HOA assumptions. The affordability calculator does this in one screen and shows the comfortable, stretched, and house-poor bands explicitly.

Step 3: Reality-check against your life

Are you saving 15%+ of income for retirement? Do you have 6 months of expenses in reserves? Do you take vacations you can afford to take? Do you sleep well at the current housing line? If you're stretched on these now, buying at a higher housing line will compound the stretch.

Step 4: Plan for variability

Insurance will rise. Property tax will rise. HOA dues will rise. Maintenance will spike in some years. Build the projection assuming these go up — not assuming they hold flat.

When to push the band higher

Some legitimate reasons to operate in the stretched (28–33%) band rather than comfortable (25–28%):

  • High-growth income trajectory. Resident physician, junior associate, early-career tech worker. The 28% today becomes 24% in 18 months as income rises. The math normalizes quickly.
  • Long planning horizon (15+ years) with expected income growth. The fixed P&I doesn't grow; income growth converts a stretched first-year ratio into a comfortable middle-year ratio.
  • Two stable incomes. The household is robust to one-income disruption. Single-income households need more margin.
  • Large reserves. 12+ months of expenses in liquid savings. The household can absorb 6 months of disruption without distressed asset sales.

None of these justify operating in the 33–43% house-poor band. That band is structurally fragile regardless of compensating factors.

Find your real number

Don't let the lender's ceiling be your target.

The affordability calculator shows the comfortable band — what you should target — alongside what you can technically qualify for.

FAQ

Affordability questions.

What if my market doesn't have homes in the comfortable band?
Then the comfortable band is renting until either income rises, prices fall, or both. This is uncomfortable cultural feedback because it implies many households who feel ready to buy aren't financially ready in the rigorous sense. But the math doesn't change because we wish it would. Stretching to the lender's ceiling because that's where the homes are doesn't make the household comfortable — it makes the household house-poor.
Should I include car payments in the affordability math?
Yes. Total household debt service — mortgage, car loans, student loans, credit card minimums — should fit inside ~36% of gross income for the household to be comfortable. The lender uses 43% as a ceiling; comfortable households operate well below it.
How much down payment changes the affordability picture?
Significantly. 20% down eliminates PMI ($150–300/month savings) and reduces the loan size proportionally. The same household qualifies for ~25% more home with 20% down vs. 5% down — but should they buy 25% more home? Usually no. The cash discipline argument cuts both ways: more cash in the house means less cash in reserves and investments.
What about the 'house hack' strategy — buying a multi-unit?
Different math. Buying a 2–4 unit and living in one while renting the others can compress effective housing cost dramatically — sometimes to net-zero or net-negative. It's also a small business with tenants, maintenance, and complications. The strategy works for a specific kind of buyer with appetite for the operational side; it's not for everyone.